H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Refugees ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced decently since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has become less particular. Tammy was at first anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm may drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) became a big and incredibly effective hurricane that caused enormous destruction and significant death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as big locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have now been released for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy need to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a hurricane that could bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the typhoon center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated hurricane cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island nations and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a danger to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to hurricane professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists formerly warned hurricanes might form in uncommon areas later on in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most serious dangers and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy